Ea Kentucky
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 94.4124Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 51-56 1112 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 83-60 1116 A No Dakota SM ( 5-23, 91.9) 57-46 1118 A No Dakota SM ( 5-23, 91.9) 87-66 1122 A MIDWA **-66 1126 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 73-60 1129 A Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 74-64 1210 H Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 83-87 1214 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 50-75 1217 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 51-76 1219 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 81-61 1229 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 70-52 101 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 69-53 103 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) **-49 108 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 80-78 110 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 64-54 115 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 69-60 117 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 90-46 122 A Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 82-63 124 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 88-54 129 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 68-55 130 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 74-59 204 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 61-55 207 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 67-60 212 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 48-60 214 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 73-56 219 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 63-69 221 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 54-69 225 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 67-54 227 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) **-43 305 H Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 41-45 319 A Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 72-58 322 H Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 34-63
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H SIUE 51-56 -5 1 - -3.03
1112 A Evansville 83-60 23 2 0.39
1116 A No Dakota 57-46 11 3 0.00
1118 A No Dakota 87-66 21 3 0.00
1126 A Morehead St 73-60 13 1 1.32
1129 A Army 74-64 10 0 + 2.03
1210 H Arizona 83-87 -4 0 -1.76
1214 H Marshall 50-75 -25 -1 -1.32
1217 H Louisville 51-76 -25 -3 0.00
1219 A Presbyterian 81-61 20 4 0.00
1229 A Hampton 70-52 18 2 0.00
101 A We Georgia 69-53 16 1 0.87
103 A Queens Univ **-49 54 3 0.00
108 A No Alabama 80-78 2 1 1.00
110 A Ce Arkansas 64-54 10 0 1.71
115 A Lipscomb 69-60 9 2 0.10
117 A Bellarmine 90-46 44 4 0.00
122 A Jacksonville 82-63 19 0 + 2.18
124 A No Florida 88-54 34 2 0.00
129 A We Georgia 68-55 13 1 0.87
130 A Queens Univ 74-59 15 3 0.00
204 A Lipscomb 61-55 6 2 0.10
207 A Austin Peay 67-60 7 1 1.27
212 H Ce Arkansas 48-60 -12 0 - -2.31
214 A No Alabama 73-56 17 1 1.00
219 H Fl Gulf Co 63-69 -6 1 - -2.62
221 H Stetson 54-69 -15 0 - -2.49
225 A Austin Peay 67-54 13 1 1.27
227 A Bellarmine **-43 57 4 0.00
305 H Austin Peay 41-45 -4 1 - -2.75
319 A Utah 72-58 14 -1 + 3.41
322 H Harvard 34-63 -29 -1 -1.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H SIUE 51-56 -5 1 - -3.03 212 H Ce Arkansas 48-60 -12 0 - -2.31 219 H Fl Gulf Co 63-69 -6 1 - -2.62 221 H Stetson 54-69 -15 0 - -2.49 305 H Austin Peay 41-45 -4 1 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A Army 74-64 10 0 + 2.03 122 A Jacksonville 82-63 19 0 + 2.18 319 A Utah 72-58 14 -1 + 3.41 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 51-56 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 0.95 -3.09
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 83-60 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 A No Dakota ( 5-23, 91.9) 57-46 -8.01 2.95 0.01 0.95 5.62
3 A No Dakota ( 5-23, 91.9) 87-66 -8.01 2.95 0.01 0.95 5.62
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 73-60 -6.18 4.78 0.01 0.95 9.09
3 A Army (26- 7, 94.4) 74-64 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.95 10.44
3 H Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 83-87 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 0.95 -2.49
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 50-75 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.95 -2.28
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 51-76 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.95 -1.13
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 81-61 -9.92 1.04 0.01 0.95 2.00
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 70-52 -7.84 3.12 0.01 0.95 5.93
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 69-53 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.24
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) **-49 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.95 5.60
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 80-78 -6.50 4.46 0.01 0.95 8.48
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 64-54 -5.79 5.17 0.01 0.95 9.82
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 69-60 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.78
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 90-46 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.95 3.52
3 A Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 82-63 -5.32 5.64 0.01 0.95 10.72
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 88-54 -7.58 3.38 0.01 0.95 6.44
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 68-55 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.24
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 74-59 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.95 5.60
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 61-55 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.78
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 67-60 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.95 9.00
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 48-60 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 0.95 -2.75
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 73-56 -6.50 4.46 0.01 0.95 8.48
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 63-69 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 0.95 -2.90
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 54-69 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.95 -2.83
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 67-54 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.95 9.00
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) **-43 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.95 3.52
3 H Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 41-45 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 0.95 -2.96
3 A Utah (17-14, 95.8) 72-58 -4.09 6.87 0.01 0.95 13.06
3 H Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 34-63 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.95 -2.25
------
146.63
|
winning pts = 169.3003 losing points = -22.6739
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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